Author of the article:
Lorrie Goldstein
Published Apr 03, 2023 • Last updated Apr 03, 2023 • 3 minute read
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Today, let’s examine how Canadians are being financially impacted by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s carbon tax in the seven provinces where it already applies or will apply, starting July 1.
Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault has now confirmed most Canadian families will pay more in carbon taxes than they get back in climate action incentive payments, despite everyone from Guilbeault to Trudeau repeatedly and explicitly stating eight out of 10 families are or will be better off.
As reported by CTV News:
“Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault told CTV’s Question Period host Vassy Kapelos in an interview airing Sunday that while the ‘average household will pay more’ because of the carbon price increase, even after the rebates, he says the system is designed to be proportional, meaning wealthier Canadians will still foot larger bills.”
“If you do the average, yeah, it’s true, it’s going to cost more money to people, but the people who are paying are the richest among us, which is exactly how the system was designed,” Guilbeault said.
But that only says the carbon tax is broadly progressive — the higher the income, the more you pay — not that 80% of the people paying it are or will be better off.
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In a report released March 30 — A Distributional Analysis of the Federal Fuel Charge under the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan — prior to the Trudeau government hiking the carbon tax by 30%, to $65 per tonne of emissions on April 1, Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux concluded that:
“When both fiscal and economic impacts of the federal fuel charge are considered, we estimate that most households will see a net loss. Based on our analysis, most households will pay more in fuel charges and GST — as well as receiving slightly lower incomes — than they will receive in Climate Action Incentive payments.”
He said in the seven provinces paying the federal carbon tax — Ontario, Alberta, Manitoba and Saskatchewan, to be joined by Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and Labrador and P.E.I on July 1 — the average household will pay anywhere from a low of $347 more in carbon taxes this year than they receive in rebates (Newfoundland and Labrador) to a high of $710 (Alberta).
By 2030 (when the carbon tax will be $170 per tonne of emissions), he said, the average household will pay anywhere from a low of $1,316 more (Newfoundland and Labrador) to a high of $2,773 (Alberta).
Giroux also estimated the impact of the carbon tax on the five quintiles of income-earners in each province — the lowest 20% being in the first quintile, the highest 20% in the fifth quintile.
Contrary to the Trudeau government’s claim 80% of people paying the carton tax end up better off because of rebates, Giroux reported 60% of households in every province are already paying more or will pay more (starting July 1) in carbon taxes than they get in rebates and that the percentage will increase to 80% in Nova Scotia in 2025, in Ontario in 2026, in Manitoba in 2029, and in Alberta and P.E.I. in 2030.
Giroux’s numbers differ from the federal government’s because it calculated them based only on the fiscal impact of the carbon tax — dollars in, dollars out.
Giroux’s calculations factor in the negative impact of the carbon tax on the economy, plus the fact the federal government doesn’t return to households the 5% of GST they pay applied on top of the carbon tax, “to provide a more complete picture of the overall impact on households in provinces where the charge applies.”
The government says it has other programs to help people pay the higher costs of the carbon tax.
True, but it also now has a second carbon tax known as the Clean Fuel Regulations, separate from this carbon tax.
Finally, the government says Giroux’s calculations don’t include the long-term costs of not addressing climate change.
But that’s a different issue, which Giroux addressed in a different report last year.
It has nothing to do with the feds inaccurately claiming 80% of people paying the federal carbon tax become richer because of it.

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FAQs
Why carbon taxes are effective? ›
Carbon taxes minimize the total cost to society of emission reductions. Greenhouse gases are a classic negative externality, Meli noted — they generate substantial costs that are borne by society at large, not just the person or organization responsible for the emissions.
What is a carbon tax quizlet? ›Carbon tax. Tax on fossil fuels, especially motor vehicles, air planes, etc. Intended to reduce carbon emissions. Pros of carbon tax. Puts a strain on the amount of carbon dioxide released and will result in less emissions.
What is carbon tax in simple words? ›Under a carbon tax, the government sets a price that emitters must pay for each ton of greenhouse gas emissions they emit. Businesses and consumers will take steps, such as switching fuels or adopting new technologies, to reduce their emissions to avoid paying the tax.
How would a carbon tax affect carbon emissions? ›A carbon tax could discourage the use of fossil fuels and encourage a shift to less-polluting fuels, thereby limiting the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions that are by far the most prevalent greenhouse gas.
Why is carbon tax wrong? ›Disadvantages. A carbon tax is regressive. By making fossil fuels more expensive, it imposes a harsher burden on those with low incomes. They will pay a higher percentage of their income for necessities like gasoline, electricity, and food.
What are the pros and cons of carbon tax? ›A carbon tax aims to make individuals and firms pay the full social cost of carbon pollution. In theory, the tax will reduce pollution and encourage more environmentally friendly alternatives. However, critics argue a tax on carbon will increase costs for business and reduce levels of investment and economic growth.
Do Americans pay a carbon tax? ›Despite being one of the world's biggest CO2 emitters, the US currently doesn't have a carbon tax at a national level. But several states, including California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Pennsylvania and Massachusetts, have introduced carbon pricing schemes that cover emissions within their territory.
Who pay the carbon tax? ›A carbon tax is a fee imposed on businesses and individuals that works as a sort of "pollution tax." The tax is a fee imposed on companies that burn carbon-based fuels, including coal, oil, gasoline, and natural gas.
Have carbon taxes worked? ›Positive impacts
Research shows that carbon taxes effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Most economists assert that carbon taxes are the most efficient and effective way to curb climate change, with the least adverse economic effects.
China does not have a carbon tax at this time.
How many countries have carbon taxes? ›
So far, 46 countries are pricing emissions through carbon taxes or emissions trading schemes (ETS) and others are considering it. Globally, ETSs and carbon taxes cover 30 percent of emissions, with prices rising as high as $90 per ton (in the European Union).
What is the difference between carbon price and carbon tax? ›Carbon taxes are a price tag put on fossil fuel emissions to disincentivize their use and promote a switch to green energy. Carbon pricing captures the external costs of greenhouse gas emissions and ties them to their sources, typically by placing a price on carbon dioxide emissions.
Would a carbon tax increase gas? ›The short answer is yes; a carbon tax will increase fuel prices. But the impact of a potential carbon tax will look different depending on many factors.
Does a carbon tax hurt the economy? ›Because carbon-intensive industries tend to be highly capital-intensive and getting prices right will reduce demand for capital relative to labor, causing not only capital returns to fall relative to wages, but also increasing economy-wide labor demand.
How much money would a carbon tax raise? ›How much revenue might a carbon tax raise? The amount of revenue raised depends on the level of the tax, how broadly it is applied, and other factors. Most experts suggest a tax of around $25 per ton of CO2, which would raise approximately $125 billion annually.
What North American country does have a carbon tax? ›B.C.'s carbon tax puts a price on carbon pollution, providing a signal across the economy to reduce emissions while encouraging sustainable economic activity and investment in low-carbon innovation. In 2008, the province implemented North America's first broad-based carbon tax.
Where have carbon taxes been successful? ›Finland and the Netherlands have had a carbon tax since 1990, Sweden and Norway since 1991, and Denmark since 1992.
What is the single most significant cause of carbon emissions? ›Fossil fuels – coal, oil and gas – are by far the largest contributor to global climate change, accounting for over 75 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions and nearly 90 per cent of all carbon dioxide emissions.
What is better than carbon tax? ›While a carbon tax sets the price of CO2 emissions and allows the market to determine the amount of reduced emissions, a cap-and-trade system sets the quantity of emissions allowed, which can then be used to estimate the decline in the rise of global temperatures.
What is a negative externality of carbon tax? ›A carbon tax works on the basis of the economic principle of externalities. When a firm generates pollution through carbon dioxide emissions, it is said to produce a negative externality—a cost to the society through the harm that it causes to the environment. A carbon tax is a way to internalize that cost.
What are the disadvantages of carbon emissions? ›
Our carbon footprint has a negative impact on the environment in multiple ways: It is the main cause of human-induced climate change, it contributes to urban air pollution, it leads to toxic acid rain, it adds to coastal and ocean acidification, and it worsens the melting of glaciers and polar ice.
Which country has highest carbon tax? ›...
For example, a carbon tax on fossil fuels is often regressive in its impact- hurting poorer people relatively more than richer ones. Even when it might be progressive, poorer people still suffer a welfare loss when prices rise, making their consumption basket more expensive.
What US states have carbon pricing? ›Those states are California and the eleven Northeast states — Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Virginia — that make up the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI).
Will companies pass on the cost of a carbon tax to consumers? ›They could, but companies will still face pressure to clean up their greenhouse gas emissions—and there are ways to relieve the burden for their customers. A carbon tax is an economic tool that would put a price on emitting carbon dioxide (CO2) into the air.
Does Russia have a carbon tax? ›As Russia has no carbon tax or emissions trading in place, it can be vulnerable to future carbon tariffs imposed by the EU or other export partners.
Who gets the money from carbon credits? ›Under the system, companies get a set number of carbon credits, which decline over time. They can sell any excess to another company. Carbon credits create a monetary incentive for companies to reduce their carbon emissions. Those that cannot easily reduce emissions can still operate, but at a higher financial cost.
What is a real world example of a carbon tax? ›A carbon tax applied to the final price of a good based on how carbon intense the good or the production of the good is. Examples: Gasoline, plastic, and motor vehicles.
Does Japan have a carbon tax? ›The carbon levy will be introduced from around 2028/29 on fossil fuel importers such as refiners, trading houses and electricity utilities. The initial levy will be set low but will gradually rise.
What is the world's largest polluter? ›China was the biggest emitter of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in 2021, accounting for nearly 31 percent of the global emissions. The world's top five largest polluters were responsible for roughly 60 percent of global CO₂ emissions in 2021.
What country has the most climate change? ›
- China, with more than 10,065 million tons of CO2 released.
- United States, with 5,416 million tons of CO2.
- India, with 2,654 million tons of CO2.
- Russia, with 1,711 million tons of CO2.
- Japan, 1,162 million tons of CO2.
- Germany, 759 million tons of CO2.
- Iran, 720 million tons of CO2.
Similar to taxes in the U.S., the percentage of tax that you pay increases as your income increases. Comparably, the Chinese tax rates are higher, meaning many American expats in China would pay more in tax locally than in the U.S.
Which country has no carbon? ›Bhutan is the world's first carbon negative country.
Are any countries carbon free? ›According to its first NDC, the South American country of Guyana has achieved net-zero status and even become a carbon sink. Guyana credits its 14.48 million hectares of largely old-growth rainforest, which covers 85% of the country's surface, for its ability to sequester up to 350 metric tons of carbon per hectare.
What is the carbon tax in Mexico? ›A carbon tax was introduced in Mexico for fossil fuel production. Its base rate is USD 3.5/tCO2 and offsets are allowed through Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) units from Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) registered projects.
Where does carbon pricing money go? ›Revenue from carbon taxes can be used to lower burdensome taxes on workers and businesses or to fund investment in climate technology.
What is a reasonable carbon tax? ›Implementing a sufficiently high carbon price has been projected to have significant impacts on carbon emissions. A 2019 Brookings Institution report projects that a $25 per ton carbon tax that rises by one percent per year would reduce emissions by 17 to 38 percent relative to 2005 benchmark levels by 2030.
Why do carbon taxes make products more expensive? ›The Economic Impact of a Carbon Tax
Generally, a carbon tax would increase the cost of burning fossil fuels, thus increasing the cost of producing goods and services that rely on those inputs, particularly for carbon-intensive things like electricity and transportation.
Beginning January 1, 2023, fueling equipment for natural gas, propane, hydrogen, electricity, E85, or diesel fuel blends containing a minimum of 20% biodiesel, is eligible for a tax credit of 30% of the cost or 6% in the case of property subject to depreciation, not to exceed $100,000.
Do gas taxes help the environment? ›Gasoline-powered vehicles are a top cause of climate change, and the intense weather they create puts many peoples' health at risk. Any suspension of a gas tax won't protect people nor the planet. All gas taxes do are temporarily take a small smidge of the cost off our fill-up.
Why do economists prefer carbon tax? ›
As one of the few taxes favored by economists, carbon taxes could help the nation address several issues simultaneously. The basic rationale for a carbon tax is that it makes good economic sense: unlike most taxes, carbon taxation can correct a market failure and make the economy more efficient.
How does carbon tax affect unemployment? ›By considering the effects of a carbon tax on business creation and clean technology adoption, a new model finds that a tax creates a mild positive effect on economic activity and negligible effects on unemployment.
What are the economic cons of putting a price on carbon? ›Consumer prices rise significantly and economic activity falls, which is reflected in lower output and higher unemployment.
Do Democrats support a carbon tax? ›Democrats such as Mr. Schatz and Mr. Whitehouse have long promoted a carbon tax, and it has some Republican support. But when a bipartisan group of senators tried to suggest it could pay for a $1 trillion infrastructure bill, the White House balked, fearing that it would harm the middle class.
Are carbon taxes economically efficient? ›Carbon taxes are generally considered regressive because low-income households spend a larger share of their incomes on carbon-intensive goods such as electricity, so a tax on carbon would affect their spending more than it would for high-income households.
Is carbon trading effective? ›The coefficient of the treated * period term is significantly positive and significant at the 5% level, indicating that the implementation of the carbon emissions trading policy has a positive effect on economic growth.
Is carbon pricing the most cost effective? ›Pricing carbon is one of the most effective and lowest-cost ways of inducing such cuts. This report presents the first full analysis of the use of carbon pricing on energy in 41 OECD and G20 economies, covering 80% of global energy use and of CO2 emissions.
Why carbon tax hurts the poor? ›For example, a carbon tax on fossil fuels is often regressive in its impact- hurting poorer people relatively more than richer ones. Even when it might be progressive, poorer people still suffer a welfare loss when prices rise, making their consumption basket more expensive.
Is a carbon tax the solution to climate change? ›First and foremost, carbon pricing is the most direct and most efficient way to achieve the emissions reductions that are necessary to mitigate climate change. The U.S. will have to take drastic action if it is to meet its climate goals.
Who has the highest carbon tax in the world? ›Does the United States have a carbon tax? ›
Despite being one of the world's biggest CO2 emitters, the US currently doesn't have a carbon tax at a national level. But several states, including California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Pennsylvania and Massachusetts, have introduced carbon pricing schemes that cover emissions within their territory.
Who pays a carbon tax? ›A carbon tax is a fee imposed on businesses and individuals that works as a sort of "pollution tax." The tax is a fee imposed on companies that burn carbon-based fuels, including coal, oil, gasoline, and natural gas.
Which country is the largest seller of carbon credits? ›Currently, India and China are the biggest sellers of carbon credit whereas countries in Europe are the biggest buyers. The concept of Carbon Credit Trading is set out in Article 17 of the Kyoto Protocol.
Who are the largest carbon traders? ›China's new emissions trading system (ETS) is already the world's largest carbon market, three times bigger than the European Union's.
Who is the largest carbon credit trader? ›The leading players in the carbon credit trading platform market include Nasdaq, Inc. (US), CME Group (US), AirCarbon Exchange (ACX) (Singapore), Carbon Trade Exchange (CTX) (UK) and Xpansiv (US).
Why are people against carbon pricing? ›Arguments against carbon pricing include the potential negative impact on carbon-intensive industries and how it frames climate change as a market failure instead of a fundamental system problem.
What is an example of a successful carbon tax? ›South Africa is a good example of an emerging economy that is pursuing action against global warming and climate change by introducing a carbon tax system. South Africa's carbon tax came into force in June 2019 and focuses on carbon emissions from processes in the industrial, power, building and transport sectors.
Who benefits from carbon pricing? ›With a carbon tax, a fee is applied wherever fossil fuels enter the economy. This price flows through the economy, incentivizing businesses and people to switch to clean energy. Fossil fuels such as oil, natural gas, and coal all contain carbon.